Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

Paperback Engels 2020 9789813298460
Verwachte levertijd ongeveer 9 werkdagen

Samenvatting

This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.

Specificaties

ISBN13:9789813298460
Taal:Engels
Bindwijze:paperback
Uitgever:Springer Nature Singapore

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Inhoudsopgave

<p></p><p>Introduction.- Evaluating the formation mechanisms of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 multi-model ensemble.- Influence of cloud radiation feedback on the uncertainty in projecting tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Effects of large-scale ocean dynamics on the uncertainty in projecting tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Correcting the multi-model ensemble tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Summary and prospects.</p><br><p></p>

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        Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models